View Full Version : Polling Results and predictions
Lonskils
11-01-2004, 08:36 PM
Predicted Final Results: Kerry 306 Bush 218
Source (http://www.electoral-vote.com/)
Tarissa
11-01-2004, 08:40 PM
Predicted Final Results: Kerry 306 Bush 218
Source (http://www.electoral-vote.com/)
THIS AIN'T WHAT FOX NEWS SAID!
a
Vidmer
11-01-2004, 08:44 PM
It says 298 to 231 on my screen. I really wouldn't put much faith in that site, no way Bush wins Hawaaii or will it be close in Virginia. Still I find that big a margain way too optimistic for this election. I think Kerry wins a close one, just because the Dems want it more. It won't be clean on either side.
Forty
11-01-2004, 11:33 PM
I see 298 to 231 as well..../shrug
Here's another one to go along with Lonskills
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/RCP_Electoral_Count_Chart.html
Thought this was interesting....not so much the results but the idea of polling people, via text messaging, that have mobile phone as their primary phone.
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=919
Tilea
11-02-2004, 10:19 AM
I think Kerry will win, but it will likely take a long time for them to actually decide who did win.
Lothbah
11-02-2004, 12:17 PM
262 to 261 showing now.
Wonder how the republicans will react if (when) George Bush wins the popular vote but loses the election.
Twong
11-02-2004, 12:28 PM
Redskins lost sun.
Which mean the incumbent loses.
They've been 100% when it comes to them winning and losing.
BUT IS THE CURSE OVER?!?!?!
hahaha
dibbs
11-02-2004, 12:53 PM
Not same way the DEM last election.
262 to 261 showing now.
Wonder how the republicans will react if (when) George Bush wins the popular vote but loses the election.
Forty
11-02-2004, 02:33 PM
262 to 261 showing now.
Aye, he had this to say about the change in numbers....
"Now come some controversial polls. Yesterday we had Kerry ahead in Ohio on the strength of a Gallup poll showing him 7% ahead there. Today we have a new Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll showing Kerry 3% ahead there Please don't send e-mail telling me what you think of Fox News. I'm pretty good at guessing, but I am trying very hard to be impartial. Tomorrow we'll know. Similarly, in Wisconsin a Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll shows Kerry's 7% lead has vanished overnight and been replaced by Bush's 3% lead. Again, PLEASE no e-mail about this. Instead, come back tomorrow for the post-mortem. If you don't buy these numbers, add 30 to Kerry and subtract 30 from Bush to get Kerry 292, Bush 231."
Basically atm, whoever gets Ohio wins most likely. If Bush gets Ohio he definitely wins, if Kerry gets it, it's nearly tied but Kerry will likely win. ATM with 89% of the precincts in, Bush leads in Ohio 51%-48%. Kerry is down apprx 1.13 million votes.
Derrict
11-03-2004, 05:29 AM
Ohio has numerous provisional votes due to the long lines. These will take up to 10 days to verify before they become valid so it's still too early to tell.
Ohio has numerous provisional votes due to the long lines. These will take up to 10 days to verify before they become valid so it's still too early to tell.
Bush has around a 130k vote lead in Ohio and there are only 140k provisional ballots. Provisional ballots are ones that are contested for their legitimacy which means about 20-30% of those will be throw out. Its statistically impossible for Kerry to win Ohio and in a few days it will be mathmatically impossible too. Its over...everyone go home...nothing to see here.
Treniesto
11-03-2004, 09:32 AM
Kerry concedes, Bush wins.
Forty
11-03-2004, 10:45 AM
I found this article somewhat interesting....
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6398886/site/newsweek/
Vinilaa
11-03-2004, 11:58 AM
If Bush wins I'm leaving the country and NEVER coming back. ;)
Nallick
11-03-2004, 12:54 PM
Bye Vinilaa!! Let me know where you are going! I want to leave the country also!
Lonskils
11-03-2004, 01:17 PM
soon as i graduate im moving to canada
Eadan
11-03-2004, 02:14 PM
Before you leave you might want to read this: http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?type=domesticNews&storyID=6704292
But I really doubt you will leave.
Bush re-elected:
Flashlight....check
Bottled Water....check
Canned Food....check
Help Wanted ad's....check
Instructions on sticking your head between your legs and kissing your ass goodbye....check
:rolleyes:
Vinilaa
11-03-2004, 02:20 PM
Before you leave you might want to read this: http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?type=domesticNews&storyID=6704292
But I really doubt you will leave.
Actually I've already bought a ticket to RSA this summer. :p
I'm also looking at attending this grad. school
www.egs.edu
I'm most definitely NOT going to Canada. :p
Even if Andriana bribes me with :cup:
haha Slaz I lub!! :cool:
Vinilaa
11-03-2004, 02:25 PM
Bye Vinilaa!! Let me know where you are going! I want to leave the country also!
hehe you can come too Nallick, I'll bet you'll fit in my duffle bag. :D
Eadan
11-03-2004, 02:33 PM
Btw Slaz you might want to take some warm clothes.
Vinilaa
11-03-2004, 02:36 PM
Btw Slaz you might want to take some warm clothes.
I think he's just moving to his basement... it's safer there! :p
Eadan
11-03-2004, 02:38 PM
haha
Have to be prepared. Never know what's going to happen with Bush. :rolleyes:
Lonskils
11-03-2004, 03:00 PM
well hell!
Forty
11-03-2004, 03:15 PM
Actually I've already bought a ticket to RSA this summer. :p
Vinilaa is starring in the sequel to "The Sound of Music".
Sorry, that was the first thing I thought of when I saw the pictures of Switzerland.
Thuggo
11-03-2004, 03:45 PM
She's going to make clothes out of curtains for all the retired hoss. Well except for Stitz, she'll make his clothes out of shag carpetting.
Derrict
11-03-2004, 04:19 PM
soon as i graduate im moving to canadaI'll join you.
I can't believe Bush got re-elected...
Eomer
11-03-2004, 06:08 PM
Well, if it makes you feel better, Canada's re-elected the same party that's been screwing us for close to 15 years! Well, actually no, Ontario has been voting them back in while the rest of us scratch our heads.
You're more than welcome to move in, there's lots of room.
Elidroth
11-03-2004, 07:20 PM
To all of you who want to leave the country now that GWB has been re-elected..
Don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out. The USA doesn't need you.
Vinilaa
11-03-2004, 08:37 PM
To all of you who want to leave the country now that GWB has been re-elected..
Don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out. The USA doesn't need you.
I was waiting for someone to post this sentiment. :p I even had a speech prepared, but you know what... get the fuck over this moral superiority BS. Seriously. Being so fucking uptight is part of what's wrong with the country these days.
Fucking christ on a popsicle stick... :confused:
I'll fucking bitch all I want to... I'll leave if I want to and not have you standing behind me all high and mighty proudly proclaiming that YOUR country doesn't need me. Thank you very much. I'm glad you feel so much more fucking AMERICAN than I... Bully for you. My grandmother was born on a fucking reservation in this country so please don't get me started on who I think can leave and not have the door hit them on the ass on their way out. :D
Lonskils
11-03-2004, 08:40 PM
Eli just likes using cliches seriously lighten the fuck up
Forty
11-03-2004, 08:46 PM
Eli just likes using cliches
And he does wear a skirt ya know.
Vinilaa
11-04-2004, 07:29 AM
And he does wear a skirt ya know.
Yeah yeah, I still lub Elid... but that kind of comment seriously pisses me off.
:o :love:
Derrict
11-04-2004, 04:41 PM
To all of you who want to leave the country now that GWB has been re-elected..
Don't let the door hit you in the ass on the way out. The USA doesn't need you.Sure it does. Who will pay the taxes with the absurb amount of spending this regime is doing at the moment? Jobs are lost since business is going overseas, healthcare costs are going insane, social security issues aren't being addressed, the war on terrorism costs keep increasing, etc etc.
The middle class, you, me, your neighbor. The more I read up on Bush the more I loathe the guy; the deals made with the Texas Ranger's stadium, executive orders made to protect his old geezer, information provided by the Clinton regime ignored, Halliburton contracts, etc. He doesn't give a shit about the American public.
Torrid
11-04-2004, 09:31 PM
My grandmother was born on a fucking reservation in this country so please don't get me started on who I think can leave and not have the door hit them on the ass on their way out.
Haha. Owned!
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